If you happened to watch Sam Mikulak’s floor routine from the Pacific Rim Championships and saw his final score of 14.55 with a D-score of 5.7, you were probably [...]
Rebecca Bross and Alicia Sacramone are basically locks for the Women's USA Gymnastics World Team. There are several other gymnasts whose fates have not yet been sealed, and that will depend on what happens in tonight's finals.
The regression toward the mean/moving target mindset makes it almost impossible for a judge to score a gymnast outrageously far from the “average” score on that apparatus, regardless of how outrageously good or bad the performance was.
This is what I like to call The Moving Target Phenomenon, and I think it is a great example of what gymnastics judging is like today.
Part 1 of an in-depth article about some of the psychological and statistical phenomena that affect gymnastics judging.